⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4.8/5) – 1,247 User Ratings
Updated: July 17, 2026 | Reading Time: 10 minutes
Author: Cricket Analyst Team
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1. Match Prediction Summary
Predicted Winner: England
Key Reason: England’s momentum after leveling the series 1-1 at Cardiff , combined with India’s injury concerns — Washington Sundar ruled out with a hamstring injury and KL Rahul’s illness — gives the hosts a decisive edge at Lord’s. Joe Root’s sublime form, with scores of 76* and 99 in the series, makes him a formidable force.
Best Betting Market: Top Batter – Joe Root at 3.00 on Reddy Book. Root has been England’s anchor, scoring 175 runs in two ODIs at an average of 87.50.
Player to Watch: Rohit Sharma — Reports suggest this could be his last ODI for India . If the Lord’s ODI is indeed his final match, he would want to sign off with a memorable knock .
One-Sentence Insight: England to win a high-stakes series decider at the home of cricket, with Root anchoring the chase.
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2. Quick Match Information
3. Match Preview
The India tour of England 2026 reaches its climax with the third and decisive ODI at the iconic Lord’s Cricket Ground in London. The series is tantalizingly poised at 1-1, with India winning the first ODI at Edgbaston before England leveled the series with a tense four-wicket victory at Sophia Gardens in Cardiff .
England’s Comeback:
England’s victory in Cardiff was a testament to their resilience. Chasing a target of 234, Joe Root anchored the innings with a masterful unbeaten 99 off 133 balls . His partnership of 72 with Will Jacks (30) brought England to the doorstep of victory . Sam Curran (26) also contributed to a crucial 41-run stand with Root to stabilize the innings after early wickets .
The hosts made two changes to their side, bringing in Saqib Mahmood and Gus Atkinson for Josh Tongue and Liam Dawson . The decision proved right, as the pacers picked up nine of the ten Indian wickets, with Atkinson and Mahmood combining for five scalps . Jofra Archer also continued his excellent form, finishing with 3/47 .
India’s Challenges:
India’s batting lineup faltered in the second ODI. Despite a promising start, Virat Kohli’s uncharacteristic dismissal triggered a collapse . Kohli scored 65, while Shreyas Iyer top-scored with 66 . However, the lower middle-order — Washington Sundar (2), Axar Patel (1), and Shivam Dube (0) — managed just three runs between them .
The biggest concern for India is the injury to Washington Sundar. The star all-rounder suffered a hamstring injury while taking a single during his innings and was unable to bowl in the second innings . He has been ruled out of the third ODI . This is a major blow as Sundar provided crucial balance with both bat and ball . India is already missing Hardik Pandya and Nitish Kumar Reddy due to injuries .
Rohit Sharma’s Potential Farewell:
Adding to the drama, reports suggest that the third ODI at Lord’s could be Rohit Sharma’s last match for India . The selectors are reportedly looking to move on from the veteran opener and give more opportunities to Yashasvi Jaiswal in preparation for the 2027 ODI World Cup . Former India wicketkeeper Parthiv Patel expressed hope that Rohit would sign off with a century . Rohit made an unconvincing 26 in the second ODI and has been out of form .
Historical Context:
India leads the overall ODI head-to-head record 61-44 . India has won five consecutive ODIs against England until the defeat in Cardiff.
4. Lord’s Pitch Report
Lord’s is a venue steeped in history, offering a surface that is generally good for batting but with assistance for both pace and spin .
| Aspect | Details |
|---|---|
| Average 1st Innings Score | 210-230 |
| Batting Conditions | Good bounce, consistent carry, true surface |
| Pace vs Spin | Pacers get early movement; spinners come into play later |
| Toss Impact | Important; teams prefer to bat first |
| Highest ODI Score at Lord’s | 334/6 (England vs New Zealand, 2023) |
Detailed Analysis:
The pitch at Lord’s offers true bounce and good carry, making it a fair contest between bat and ball. Batters who get in can score freely, but the new ball can pose challenges. Spinners may get grip and turn in the middle overs, particularly as the match progresses. A score of around 280-300 is considered competitive. The short boundaries, particularly straight, encourage attacking stroke play.
Betting Insight: Bet on the team batting first to score over 230.5 runs. Given the balanced nature of the pitch, the toss could be a significant factor.
5. Weather Report
The weather forecast for London on Sunday, July 19, predicts clear skies with temperatures around 18-22°C.
| Weather Factor | Details |
|---|---|
| Temperature | 18-22°C |
| Humidity | Moderate (60-70%) |
| Rain Probability | Low (less than 10%) |
| Dew Factor | Minimal |
| Wind Speed | 10-15 km/h |
Weather Impact:
- Clear skies mean no swing assistance for pacers.
- Fast outfield could aid high scores.
- No rain interruptions expected – a full match is anticipated.
6. Head-to-Head Record
Overall ODI Record
| Matches Played | India Wins | England Wins | No Result | Tied |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 110 | 61 | 44 | 3 | 2 |
Last 5 ODIs
| Result | Margin | Venue | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| England won | 4 wickets | Cardiff | 2026 |
| India won | 3 wickets | Edgbaston | 2026 |
| India won | 3 wickets | Ahmedabad | 2025 |
| India won | 2 wickets | Cuttack | 2025 |
| India won | 4 wickets | Nagpur | 2025 |
Analysis: India won 5 consecutive ODIs before the defeat in Cardiff. England’s win at Sophia Gardens broke the streak and leveled the series.
7. Recent Form
England’s Last 5 ODIs
| Result | Opponent | Venue | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Won | India | Cardiff | 2026 |
| Lost | India | Edgbaston | 2026 |
| Lost | India | Ahmedabad | 2025 |
| Lost | India | Cuttack | 2025 |
| Lost | India | Nagpur | 2025 |
Analysis: England ended their losing streak against India with a crucial win in Cardiff, driven by Joe Root’s masterclass .
India’s Last 5 ODIs
| Result | Opponent | Venue | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lost | England | Cardiff | 2026 |
| Won | England | Edgbaston | 2026 |
| Won | England | Ahmedabad | 2025 |
| Won | England | Cuttack | 2025 |
| Won | England | Nagpur | 2025 |
Analysis: India’s 5-match winning streak against England ended in Cardiff. The team faces significant injury challenges ahead of the decider .
8. Probable Playing XI
England Probable Playing XI
| Position | Player | Role |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ben Duckett | Batter |
| 2 | Jacob Bethell | Batter |
| 3 | Joe Root | Batter |
| 4 | Harry Brook (c) | Batter |
| 5 | Jos Buttler (wk) | WK-Batter |
| 6 | Sam Curran | All-rounder |
| 7 | Will Jacks | All-rounder |
| 8 | Gus Atkinson | Bowler |
| 9 | Jofra Archer | Bowler |
| 10 | Adil Rashid | Bowler |
| 11 | Saqib Mahmood | Bowler |
Analysis: England’s spin-heavy attack includes Adil Rashid and Will Jacks. Saqib Mahmood replaced Josh Tongue in Cardiff and is expected to retain his place.
India Probable Playing XI
| Position | Player | Role |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohit Sharma | Batter |
| 2 | Shubman Gill (c) | Batter |
| 3 | Virat Kohli | Batter |
| 4 | Shreyas Iyer | Batter |
| 5 | Ishan Kishan (wk) | WK-Batter |
| 6 | Axar Patel | All-rounder |
| 7 | Shivam Dube | All-rounder |
| 8 | Gurnoor Brar | Bowler |
| 9 | Prasidh Krishna | Bowler |
| 10 | Jasprit Bumrah | Bowler |
| 11 | Arshdeep Singh | Bowler |
Key Changes: Washington Sundar is ruled out due to a hamstring injury . KL Rahul is likely to return if fit after missing the second ODI due to illness . India may consider bringing in Kuldeep Yadav as a specialist spinner. Harshit Rana and Nitish Kumar Reddy remain unavailable due to injury .
9. Players to Watch
Joe Root
Root has been England’s anchor and savior in this series. His unbeaten 99 in Cardiff showcased his ability to pace an innings and steer the chase under pressure. He has scored 175 runs in two ODIs at an average of 87.50 and is the leading run-scorer for England since 2024 . His technique and temperament make him the most important player for England at Lord’s.
Virat Kohli
Kohli looked in sublime touch during his 65 at Cardiff before an uncharacteristic dismissal . He had registered six fifty-plus scores in his last seven ODI innings before this series. Kohli has an exceptional record at Lord’s and will be eager to play a match-winning knock in the series decider.
Shreyas Iyer
Iyer has been India’s most consistent batter in the series, scoring 66 in the second ODI . His ability to play spin and counter-attack makes him a crucial middle-order asset. He seemed at ease even against short-pitched bowling, dispelling a perceived weakness .
Jofra Archer
Archer has been England’s strike bowler with 3/47 in the second ODI . His express pace and bounce make him a threat throughout the innings. With the new ball, he can trouble India’s top order, and he is equally effective at the death.
Jasprit Bumrah
Bumrah returned to ODI cricket after 968 days and has been India’s most potent bowler. He struck in the first over in the second ODI, dismissing Ben Duckett . He will need to deliver with the ball and inspire his side in the absence of key all-rounders.
Rohit Sharma
This could be a poignant final chapter for Rohit Sharma . Reports indicate that the selectors are likely to move on from the veteran opener after this match . His scratchy 26 in Cardiff did not silence critics, but he has a history of bouncing back from low scores with big knocks.
10. Key Player Battles
Joe Root vs Jasprit Bumrah
The battle between England’s anchor and India’s spearhead. Root played Bumrah with caution in Cardiff, surviving testing overs early on . Bumrah will look to exploit any movement, while Root aims to anchor the innings.
Virat Kohli vs Jofra Archer
The marquee battle. Archer has dismissed Kohli in both ODIs and will be eyeing a third. Kohli’s technique against pace and bounce will be tested on a pitch with good carry.
Shreyas Iyer vs Adil Rashid
Iyer’s ability against spin versus Rashid’s variations. With Lord’s offering grip for spinners, this contest could be pivotal in the middle overs.
Rohit Sharma vs Saqib Mahmood
Rohit’s form against Mahmood’s pace and extra bounce. With his potential farewell looming, Rohit will be desperate to produce a vintage innings.
11. Fantasy Cricket Tips
Captain Picks
- Virat Kohli – Safe and reliable. Has an exceptional record at Lord’s.
- Joe Root – In sublime form and England’s anchor.
Vice-Captain Picks
- Shreyas Iyer – India’s most consistent batter in the series.
- Harry Brook – Can be explosive on his day.
Differential Picks
- Gus Atkinson – Impressed with the new ball at Cardiff.
- Gurnoor Brar – The young pacer has been a wicket-taker for India.
Budget Picks
- Axar Patel – Contributes with both bat and ball.
- Ishan Kishan – A value pick if he retains his spot.
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12. Best Betting Markets
Match Winner
England at 1.85, India at 1.95. England’s momentum and India’s injury concerns give the hosts a slight edge.
Top Batter
- India: Virat Kohli (2.75), Shreyas Iyer (3.20), Rohit Sharma (3.50)
- England: Joe Root (3.00), Harry Brook (3.50), Jos Buttler (3.80)
Top Bowler
- India: Jasprit Bumrah (3.50), Kuldeep Yadav (4.00), Arshdeep Singh (4.50)
- England: Jofra Archer (3.50), Adil Rashid (4.00), Gus Atkinson (4.50)
Over/Under Runs
Total match runs over/under at 345.5. Given Lord’s batting-friendly reputation and the high stakes, over could be a safe bet.
Most Sixes
- India at 2.10, England at 1.85. Both teams have power-hitters.
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13. Expert Betting Tips
Low-Risk Bets
- England to win at 1.85 – Home advantage, momentum, and India’s injury crisis.
- Over 10.5 fours in the match – Lord’s has short straight boundaries.
- Joe Root to score 25+ runs – He has 175 runs in two ODIs.
Medium-Risk Bets
- Team winning the toss to bat first – Batting first is often preferred at Lord’s.
- England to score over 230.5 runs – Root anchors the innings effectively.
- Total wickets in the match over 13.5 – The pitch offers something for everyone.
Higher-Risk Bets
- Rohit Sharma to score 30+ runs – Potential farewell motivation.
- Jofra Archer over 1.5 wickets – He is in excellent form.
Live Betting Opportunities
- If India loses early wickets, bet on England at enhanced odds.
- If England loses early wickets, bet on India as momentum could shift.
14. Final Match Prediction
Based on comprehensive analysis, here’s the final verdict:
Prediction: England to win the 3rd ODI (by 4 wickets)
Supporting Factors:
- Momentum: England leveled the series with a confident chase in Cardiff .
- Root’s Form: Joe Root has scored 175 runs in two ODIs .
- Injury Crisis: India is without Washington Sundar, Hardik Pandya, and Nitish Kumar Reddy .
- Home Advantage: England is playing at Lord’s in front of a home crowd.
- Rohit’s Form: India’s veteran opener is out of form .
- Historical Context: India’s 5-match winning streak against England has ended.
Betting Recommendation: Place a moderate bet on England to win. Hedge with Joe Root to score 25+ runs.
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18. Frequently Asked Questions
1. Who is likely to win ENG vs IND 3rd ODI?
England is the predicted winner with odds of 1.85 based on their momentum, home advantage, India’s injury concerns , and Joe Root’s sublime form .
2. What is the Lord’s pitch report?
Lord’s offers a balanced surface with good bounce and carry. The average first innings score is 210-230. Pacers get early movement, while spinners come into play in the middle overs.
3. Why is Washington Sundar not playing?
Washington Sundar has been ruled out of the third ODI due to a hamstring injury sustained in the second ODI .
4. Will this be Rohit Sharma’s last ODI?
Reports suggest that the selectors are likely to move on from Rohit Sharma after the Lord’s ODI . The third ODI could be his farewell match.
5. Who are the probable playing XI for both teams?
- England: Ben Duckett, Jacob Bethell, Joe Root, Harry Brook (c), Jos Buttler (wk), Sam Curran, Will Jacks, Gus Atkinson, Jofra Archer, Adil Rashid, Saqib Mahmood .
- India: Rohit Sharma, Shubman Gill (c), Virat Kohli, Shreyas Iyer, Ishan Kishan (wk), Axar Patel, Shivam Dube, Gurnoor Brar, Prasidh Krishna, Jasprit Bumrah, Arshdeep Singh.
6. Which players are the best fantasy picks?
Captain: Virat Kohli or Joe Root. Vice-captain: Shreyas Iyer or Harry Brook. Differential picks: Gus Atkinson and Gurnoor Brar.
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8. Where can I watch the match live?
The match will be broadcast on Sony Sports Network and streamed live on JioHotstar .
19. Conclusion
The ENG vs IND 3rd ODI at Lord’s is a fitting finale to a thrilling series. England, riding on the momentum of their Cardiff victory and Joe Root’s exceptional form, will be confident of sealing the series at home . India, on the other hand, faces significant challenges with key injuries to Washington Sundar and the absence of Hardik Pandya .
The potential farewell of Rohit Sharma adds an emotional subplot to the contest . While he will be desperate for a memorable knock, England’s balanced attack and home advantage give them a crucial edge.
Our final prediction leans towards England winning a closely fought series decider. For bettors, the match winner, top batter, and player performance markets offer excellent opportunities.
Remember to bet responsibly, enjoy the match, and may the best team win!
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